A recent Morning Consult/Bloomberg News Poll reveals a compelling landscape in the critical swing states, with former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden and other potential contenders in six out of seven key battlegrounds. Trump’s lead is notable, showcasing his continued resonance among voters in states crucial for securing victory in presidential elections. Despite Biden’s narrow advantage in one state in a head-to-head matchup, Trump’s dominance in the broader field underscores his enduring appeal among voters. As the political landscape evolves, these poll results offer insights into the shifting dynamics and potential outcomes of the upcoming general election.
Trump maintains a lead over Biden and third-party candidates in all swing states except Michigan, where the two presidents are tied. Trump’s advantage widens in the presence of third-party candidates, but the race tightens in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, with Biden narrowly leading in one state.
Results of following states are discussed below.
A recent poll conducted in Arizona result shows that Donald Trump is currently ahead of Joe Biden in both a five-way and a two-way presidential race. Trump leads the crowded field with 43 percent support, followed by Biden at 37 percent. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. secures third place with 12 percent. In a head-to-head matchup between Trump and Biden, Trump leads by 48 percent to 43 percent. The poll, conducted among 796 registered voters from March 8 to 14, carries a margin of error of ± three percentage points. Trump previously won Arizona in 2016 but narrowly lost it to Biden in 2020.
In North Carolina, Trump leads in a crowded race with 45% support, followed by Biden at 39% and Kennedy at 7%. With West and Stein also in the mix, Trump maintains a six-point lead over Biden. However, in a head-to-head matchup, Trump’s lead narrows to six points, with 49% support to Biden’s 43%. The survey, conducted between March 8-12 with 699 registered voters, has a margin of error of ±4%.
In a recent survey of 788 registered Georgia voters conducted between March 8 and 12, Trump holds a seven-point lead over Biden in both a five-way race and a head-to-head matchup. In the crowded field, Trump leads with 45% support, followed by Biden at 38%, while in the head-to-head matchup, Trump leads 49% to 42%. With a margin of error of ±3%, the survey indicates a significant advantage for Trump in Georgia, a state that flipped from red to blue between the 2016 and 2020 elections.
In Michigan, a recent poll sampled 698 registered voters between March 8-12, revealing a deadlock between Trump and Biden in both scenarios. With third-party candidates included, each garnered 40% support, while without third-party options, they tied at 45%. Notably, Michigan swung from Trump in 2016 to Biden in 2020. The margin of error is ±4%.
In Nevada, traditionally Democratic in recent elections, Trump leads in both scenarios, but third-party candidates bolster his margin against Biden. In a multi-candidate race, Trump holds 42%, while Biden trails at 36%. In a head-to-head matchup, Trump leads by two points, with 46% to Biden’s 44%. The survey, based on 447 registered voters sampled from March 8-15, has a margin of error of ±5%.
In Pennsylvania, Trump leads in a five-way contest with 44% support, while Biden follows at 38%, and Kennedy at 7%. Third-party candidates, including Stein and West, play a role, with Biden gaining 7% when they are removed compared to Trump’s 1%. In a head-to-head matchup, both candidates tie at 45%. Four percent would not vote in a rematch, and 6% are undecided. The survey polled 807 registered voters from March 8-12, with a margin of error of ±3%.
In Wisconsin, Trump narrowly leads in a crowded field with 41% support, followed closely by Biden at 39% and Kennedy Jr. at 10%. In a head-to-head matchup, Biden holds a slight edge over Trump with 46% to 45%. The survey, based on 697 registered voters polled from March 8-14, has a margin of error of ±4%.
As the race intensifies in these critical swing states, the poll underscores the tight competition between Trump and Biden. With both candidates fiercely vying for support, these battlegrounds will undoubtedly shape the outcome of the upcoming election, highlighting the importance of every vote in determining the next occupant of the White House.
